Enter the Two Prices You See and Read the Real Gap
Every PS3838 or Probet42 broker claims its odds match Pinnacle's. None has published a way to check that.
This tool turns that claim into a number: type both prices in and read the gap.
This page sits inside the site's wider look at reading a Pinnacle-style price, but it only answers one narrow question: how big is the gap between two prices you paste in yourself, once fees are counted. Pinnacle's own terms never mention PS3838 or Probet42 by name, so every claim of parity below comes from a broker, not from Pinnacle. Enter both prices in the calculator to see your own number.
- Source
- Broker help centers and Pinnacle's own terms
- Version
- Latest broker help center statements
- Limit
- No independent measurement exists; the tool only reads what you enter
Check the PS3838 vs Pinnacle odds gap on your own numbers
Route A is the price you treat as the reference, often Pinnacle direct. Route B is the price you want to check, often PS3838, Probet42, or another broker screen. Pick a market with two or three outcomes, enter both sides, add any fee that applies to route B, and the tool below does the rest.
Two-route price gap calculator
Two or three outcomes, one fee, one stake. Nothing here is a real quote from Pinnacle, PS3838 or Probet42: it only works the numbers you type.
Reads only the numbers typed above. Nothing is sent or stored.
How to read what the calculator gives you
Whether PS3838 or Probet42 really is Pinnacle underneath is a longer question, answered claim by claim on its own claim-by-claim page. This page stays narrower than that: not identity, just price.
Getting two real prices onto this page is on you, and that is deliberate. Do not scrape either book: Pinnacle's terms and MadMarket's terms both forbid automated collection of odds, and asking a tool to help around that would defeat the point of checking honestly. If your own country blocks Pinnacle's direct site, that is a separate problem, covered on a page of its own, not a reason to reach for a workaround here.
Route A in the tool above is treated as the reference price. The tool strips its margin with a proportional devig, which removes each side's own share of the overround in proportion to its raw price, then prices route B against that fair number instead of the number you actually see. That is one method among several. An additive method, subtracting the same amount of probability from every outcome, or a power method built for markets with insider risk, would land on a different fair price from the same two raw numbers, usually moving the favorite and the outsider in opposite directions. The tool shows its method next to the result. Treat the fair price as an estimate, not as the true chance of anything. A fuller walk-through of what a single Pinnacle-style price is built from, margin included, lives on the odds explainer.
Picture two invented numbers, not a live quote from either site: a price of 1.95 on one screen and 1.93 on the other, same match, same side. Two ticks looks small. Divide 1.93 by 1.95 and subtract one, and the gap is about negative 1.0 percent, roughly what the lower price is worth against the higher one, before either book's own margin or any fee. A typical two-way market priced at 1.95 and 1.96 carries a margin near 2.3 percent, so a 1.0 percent gap on one side is not rounding. It sits close to half that margin, on a single leg of the bet.
Fees in the calculator apply only to route B, because that side usually sits behind a broker account. A withdrawal fee, a currency conversion, or turnover not yet cleared all cut into a winning payout the same way: they shave the profit, not the stake. Enter the figure as one percentage and the tool applies it to route B's winning share before comparing the result with route A's fair price. Whether the broker route pays for itself at all, once a deposit sits idle and fees stack up, is a separate question with its own arithmetic.
Three readings come out the other end, and only three. A gap under a tenth of a percentage point of expected value reads as gap within rounding, since most books quote to two decimal places and small differences live inside that rounding. A larger negative gap reads as net gap against you: route B costs money against route A's fair price, fees included. A larger positive gap reads as net gap in your favor, check the time and the limits, and that second half is doing real work, because a better number is worth little if the time stamps do not match or the stake it allows is too small to matter.
The last line under each outcome turns the percentage into stake units: the same gap, repeated over a chosen number of bets at a fixed stake, becomes a running cost or a running gain. Ten bets barely move it. A hundred, at a stake you would actually place, usually do.
None of this proves anything about tomorrow's line. It only prices the two numbers typed a moment ago.
Faster to check than to argue about on a forum? Yes. Proof that PS3838 or Probet42 always tracks Pinnacle? No, and no tool built from two numbers ever will be.
What the brokers themselves say about the gap
Four brokers publish something about PS3838 or Probet42 next to Pinnacle's name. None of the four has measured a price gap; each states a relationship and stops there.
| Broker | What it states | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| BetInAsia | Calls PS3838 a Pinnacle white label: the same sports, markets and offers as Pinnacle, in a different layout. | Operator statement |
| AsianConnect | Calls PS3838 a Pinnacle copy, a shorter claim than BetInAsia's, with no further detail published. | Operator statement |
| MadMarket | Markets Probet42 as a Pinnacle Sports alternative and, on the same pages, a Pinnacle clone. No contract or technical link to Pinnacle is published anywhere. | Operator statement |
| Sportmarket | Describes its PS3838 account as powered by Pinnacle, with odds and liquidity called very similar and limits stated at roughly 50 percent lower. | Operator statement |
Confidence reads as operator statement across the whole table: none of the four claims above comes with an independent measurement.
One line runs through every version of Pinnacle's own terms read for this site, Curacao, Anjouan and Malta alike: none of them names PS3838 or Probet42, not once. Read that as the sites being straightforward about a relationship Pinnacle itself has never confirmed, not as something they forgot to mention.
Two forum posts add texture, nothing more. One from 2023 describes Pinnacle prices about 0.02 worse on a broker's trading screen than on a direct PS3838 account. Another from 2022 describes limits roughly half as high through a broker as on a direct Pinnacle account. Two data points, both unverified, neither a rule: worth rerunning through the calculator above if you can get your own two numbers, not worth repeating as fact.
The two brokers below both publish a dedicated PS3838 account, and both publish pages worth reading before a number on screen becomes a number in an account. BetInAsia's own help pages disagree with each other on whether a deposit needs to be staked once or three times before a withdrawal is free, and its withdrawal fee starts at 2 percent and rises again on a second withdrawal inside 30 days. Sportmarket sets a flat rule instead: five times the deposit staked before a withdrawal is free, paid out only through the method used to deposit. Neither rule shows up in the price on screen. Both change what that price is worth once you try to take it out.
What this calculator cannot see
Model limits
Four conditions turn a clean-looking gap into a false one.
- The two prices were probably not read at the same instant. A line can move between checking one screen and checking the other.
- A margin is rarely spread evenly across outcomes. Proportional devig assumes it is close enough; a heavily lopsided market breaks that assumption.
- A two-outcome Asian handicap line can settle in more ways than two prices show, since a push refunds the stake and the calculator has no field for a refund. The settlement rules get their own page.
- The same decimal price at a lower limit is not the same product as it is at a higher one. A route that matches the number but caps the stake has not matched the price.
None of this says anything about a different market, a different day or a different broker: it only reads the two numbers entered above.